STAT 186: Causal Inference

Susan Murphy
STAT 186     |      Spring 2025      |      Course Listing
Monday & Wednesday, 4:30 PM – 5:45 PM

Causal inference concerns the very difficult, challenging problem of addressing questions such as, “Would vaccinating children 16 and younger against COVID 19 lead to fewer deaths among public school teachers?” and “Would providing Harvard students access to a mobile health application designed to help them manage school stress, lead to improved school performance?” This class will include 4 modules. The first module introduces the nuanced world of causal inference along with a fundamental tool: the language of potential outcomes. The second module covers randomized experiments and how data from randomized experiments can be used to make causal statements. The third module introduces the rather tricky problem of using observational (non-randomized) data to attempt to make causal statements. The final module introduces a new and challenging area in which the goal is to make causal inference about the effect of sequences of treatments.

Recommended Prep: NOTE: the ONLY prerequisites are Stat 110 AND Stat 111 AND Stat 139. Gov 2000 and 2001 are no longer prerequisites. Probability and statistical inference is needed extensively, and statistical linear models are needed occasionally.